You are kindly invited to attend the Eesti Pankʼs research seminar in Teams on 26 March at 15:00, during which Eeva Kerola (Bank of Finland) and Anni Norring (IMF) will present on “Effect of the countercyclical capital buffer on firm loans – Evidence from Germany”
The study examines how tightening the countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) in Germany affects bank lending to firms, using highly granular loan level data from the European Central Bank. Exploiting the 2022 German CCyB increase and employing a difference in differences identification strategy with Austria as the control group, the authors show that German banks reduce corporate lending volumes and raise lending rates – changes that materialize immediately after the policy announcement, well before implementation. Crucially, the tightening disproportionately affects small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs), which face both reduced credit supply and higher borrowing costs, while bigger firms remain largely unaffected. The results highlight the importance of announcement effects in macroprudential policy and point to significant distributional consequences across firm sizes.
MS Teams: https://teams.microsoft.com/meet/38756665760372?p=v5kB22pQlWWxArAJzn
Meeting ID: 387 566 657 603 72
Password: iC7xC2XQ